Matchup Machine

Julio Rodriguez

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

306th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Julio Rodriguez

366th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Leans in favor of Rodriguez
1

Model Prediction

Julio Rodriguez has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.9% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%24.4%2.3%6.2%15.9%5.8%23.6%
Rodriguez-0.9+0.4-1.0+0.9+0.5-1.3-1.8
Weathers+0.3+2.8+0.3+0.6+2.0-2.5-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Julio Rodriguez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Rodriguez has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Julio Rodriguez has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

15.0% of Julio Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.7% -2.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.6% 39%         In Play +0.4% +2.7% 39%         On Base +5.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit +6.5% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.8% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years