Matchup Machine

Julio Rodriguez

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matchup for Slade Cecconi

262nd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Slade Cecconi

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matchup for Julio Rodriguez

181st out of 567 (Best 33%)

Strong advantage for Rodriguez
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Model Prediction

Julio Rodriguez has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 0.2% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Cecconi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%25.8%4.4%5.8%15.7%5.1%24.0%
Rodriguez-0.2+1.9+1.1+0.5+0.3-2.1-1.5
Cecconi-0.7+0.5+1.1-0.3-0.3-1.2+2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Julio Rodriguez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rodriguez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Julio Rodriguez has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

15.0% of Julio Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.7% -4.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% -4.3% 39%         In Play +0.4% +9.0% 39%         On Base +5.4% -1.5% 31%         Hit +6.5% +2.8% 14%         Single +1.8% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.4% +1.4%

History

Julio Rodriguez has 3 plate appearances against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.060.000.000.060.020
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-27Flyout99%
2024-04-27Groundout5%95%
2024-04-27Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.