matchup for Taj Bradley
matchup for Julio Rodriguez
2
Julio Rodriguez has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 1.7% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Bradley.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.0% | 22.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 27.7% |
| Rodriguez | -1.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -1.0 | +1.7 |
| Bradley | -1.8 | -0.2 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.8 | -1.6 | +1.4 |
Julio Rodriguez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rodriguez has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Julio Rodriguez has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
44%
Cutter (R)
24%
Splitter (R)
15%
Curve (R)
12%
Changeup (R)
5%
15% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
15%
+4%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Weak Challenge
9%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Non-Competitive
13%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-3%
36% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
36%
+17%
Very Fast Velo
24%
+15%
Fastball (R)
68%
+14%
High Ride
24%
+13%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+9%
15.0% of Julio Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.7%
+3.1%
5%
Walk
-1.3%
+0.4%
39%
In Play
+0.6%
-3.5%
39%
On Base
+5.5%
-1.2%
31%
Hit
+6.8%
-1.6%
14%
Single
+2.0%
-1.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.4%
-1.2%
3%
Home Run
+2.4%
+1.2%
37.8% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley induces Standard Grounders at a 31.5% rate, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.2%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.4%
-2.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.8%
+0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.1%
-4.3%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.3%
+3.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.6%
+1.8%
3%
Likely Homer
0.0%
+3.0%
1%
No Doubter
+0.6%
0.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
-5.2%
-2.4%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
+1.6%
37.7% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.4% higher than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.0%
-4.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-4.7%
-0.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.1%
-2.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.6%
+0.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+13.4%
+5.8%
9.9% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.9%
-1.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
+3.8%
0.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.1%
+0.0%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.5%
+2.4%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.4%
-0.3%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.6%
+1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.8%
-3.8%
8%
Above 50°
+0.6%
+2.1%
Julio Rodriguez has 9 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 9 with a home run and a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 2.85 | 1.06 | 0.54 | 1.24 | 0.316 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-24 | Flyout | 16% | 2% | 83% | |
| 2024-06-24 | Groundout | 3% | 97% | ||
| 2024-06-24 | Groundout | 32% | 68% | ||
| 2023-09-08 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2023-09-08 | Flyout | 1% | 98% | ||
| 2023-09-08 | Home Run | 89% | 3% | 8% | |
| 2023-07-02 | Single | 5% | 71% | 24% | |
| 2023-07-02 | Lineout | 2% | 3% | 96% | |
| 2023-07-02 | Double | 1% | 41% | 15% | 43% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
