Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Julio Rodriguez

matchup for Dylan Cease

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

Dylan Cease

matchup for Julio Rodriguez

525th out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Moderate advantage for Cease

Julio Rodriguez has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Cease, which is 3.1% lower than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Cease.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.0%	21.2%	2.4%	3.8%	14.9%	6.8%	30.8%
Rodriguez	-3.1	-2.7	-0.9	-1.4	-0.5	-0.4	+5.4
Cease	-1.9	+1.6	+0.3	-0.5	+1.8	-3.4	+4.3

Julio Rodriguez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Cease is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rodriguez has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Dylan Cease throws a Slider 43% of the time. Julio Rodriguez has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

43%

4-Seam (R)

42%

Kn-Curve (R)

12%

23% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

55% of Dylan Cease's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has an A grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 55%

+24%

Minimal Break 30%

+21%

Very Fast Velo 23%

+15%

High Ride 22%

+12%

15.0% of Julio Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease strikes out 19.1% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.7% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.1% +1.0% 39%

In Play +0.4% -7.3% 39%

On Base +5.4% -3.9% 31%

Hit +6.5% -4.8% 14%

Single +1.8% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% -2.0% 3%

Home Run +2.4% -0.3%

38.0% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. Dylan Cease induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.6% -3.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -2.0% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.2% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.5%

37.5% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% +1.0%

9.6% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Cease are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%