Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Julio Rodriguez

matchup for Seth Lugo

151st out of 436 (Best 35%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Julio Rodriguez

378th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.2% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.0%	24.5%	3.0%	4.8%	16.7%	6.5%	28.2%
Rodriguez	-0.2	+0.5	-0.3	-0.5	+1.3	-0.7	+2.7
Lugo	-1.5	+0.5	-0.1	-0.2	+0.8	-2.1	+3.3

Julio Rodriguez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rodriguez has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Julio Rodriguez has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.0% of Julio Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.7% +0.8% 5%

Walk -1.1% -2.3% 39%

In Play +0.4% +1.4% 39%

On Base +5.4% -0.4% 31%

Hit +6.5% +1.9% 14%

Single +1.8% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.4% +0.1%

38.0% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.6% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -2.2%

37.5% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% -1.6%

9.6% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%