Matchup Machine

Julio Rodriguez

Worst 5% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Best 9% of matchups for Julio Rodriguez

Extreme advantage for Rodriguez

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.6%	4.9%	18.3%	5.4%	16.5%
MLB (+/-)	+1.8	+0.6	+4.4	-4.3	-8.7
Rodriguez	+0.3	+0.3	+2.9	-1.6	-9.5
Gomber	+1.3	+0.5	+2.1	-2.4	+0.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.6%

4.9%

18.3%

5.4%

16.5%

MLB (+/-)

+1.8

+0.6

+4.4

-4.3

-8.7

Rodriguez

+0.3

+2.9

-1.6

-9.5

Gomber

+1.3

+0.5

+2.1

-2.4

+0.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.10	0.03	0.13	0.94			.366

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-14	Flyout	3%	2%		95%
2023-04-14	Lineout		2%	78%	20%
2023-04-14	Double		9%	16%	76%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	58%	90	RHB vs LHP	-14	80%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

58%

RHB vs LHP

-14

80%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	53%	84	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	37%	113	Breaking	-26	37%
	17%	59	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	51%	100	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐⭐	62%	115	Slider	-6	20%
	66%	55	Changeup	0	18%
	61%	39	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

53%

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

37%

113

Breaking

-26

37%

17%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

51%

100

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐⭐

62%

115

Slider

-6

20%

66%

Changeup

18%

61%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	71%	78	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	76%	106	Top of zone	-3	12%
⭐⭐	85%	125	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
	69%	16	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	74%	39	Middle	-23	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

71%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

76%

106

Top of zone

-3

12%

⭐⭐

85%

125

Away / Arm Side

11%

69%

In / Glove Side

-29

10%

74%

Middle

-23

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	54%	46	Below the zone	22	30%
	40%	44	In / Glove Side	30	24%
⭐	42%	70	Above the zone	8	24%
	47%	2	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

54%

Below the zone

30%

40%

In / Glove Side

24%

⭐

42%

Above the zone

24%

47%

Away / Arm Side

-3

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	45%	110	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐	61%	68	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐	64%	75	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	62%	93	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐	69%	68	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐⭐	75%	85	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

45%

110

First Pitch

28%

⭐

61%

Batter Behind

28%

⭐

64%

Batter Ahead

26%

⭐⭐

62%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐

69%

3 Balls

⭐⭐

75%

Full Count

-9