Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Julio Rodriguez

matchup for Martin Perez

335th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Julio Rodriguez

67th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Extreme advantage for Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 4.0% higher than Rodriguez's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.1%	27.7%	3.4%	5.8%	18.4%	7.5%	18.4%
Rodriguez	+4.0	+3.7	+0.1	+0.6	+3.0	+0.3	-7.0
Perez	+0.5	+2.4	+0.4	+0.5	+1.5	-1.8	+0.0

Julio Rodriguez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rodriguez has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Julio Rodriguez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Julio Rodriguez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

15.0% of Julio Rodriguez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.7% -6.1% 5%

Walk -1.1% -0.3% 39%

In Play +0.4% +6.4% 39%

On Base +5.4% +5.9% 31%

Hit +6.5% +6.3% 14%

Single +1.8% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.3% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +2.4% -0.6%

38.0% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.6% higher than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.6% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -3.1% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.2% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -0.9%

37.5% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.2% higher than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.7% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.8% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +13.2% +0.9%

9.6% of Julio Rodriguez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.8% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.8% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -2.0% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.9% +0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -2.3% -1.4% 11%

29 to 38° -1.8% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -2.1%

Julio Rodriguez has 12 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 10 with 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	12	10	2	0	0	2	3	2	0.200
Expected From Contact →			1.85	0.00	0.04	1.80			0.185

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-10-01	Groundout			48%	52%
2023-09-24	Walk
2022-08-14	Lineout		3%	37%	59%
2022-08-14	Flyout			1%	98%
2022-08-14	Groundout			8%	92%
2022-08-14	Single			4%	96%
2022-07-14	Strikeout
2022-07-14	Groundout			10%	90%
2022-07-14	Strikeout
2022-06-05	Single			72%	27%
2022-06-05	Walk
2022-06-05	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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