Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brayan Rocchio

matchup for Luis Severino

182nd out of 436 (Best 43%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Brayan Rocchio

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Severino

Brayan Rocchio has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 0.6% lower than Rocchio's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.4%	19.6%	1.9%	4.0%	13.7%	9.8%	22.1%
Rocchio	-0.6	-1.4	-0.3	-1.0	-0.1	+0.9	-1.6
Severino	-0.7	-1.7	-0.6	-0.1	-1.1	+1.0	-1.2

Brayan Rocchio is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rocchio has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brayan Rocchio has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Brayan Rocchio has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Brayan Rocchio hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

13.0% of Brayan Rocchio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.7% +0.9% 3%

Walk +2.1% -1.1% 39%

In Play +0.6% +0.2% 39%

On Base -1.3% -0.9% 31%

Hit -3.4% +0.2% 14%

Single -1.4% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.5%

40.1% of Brayan Rocchio's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.6% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.8% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +1.7% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.9% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% -1.4% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -0.7%

12.0% of Brayan Rocchio's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.8% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.9% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.3% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% -0.5%

11.1% of Brayan Rocchio's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%