Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brayan Rocchio

matchup for Aaron Nola

54th out of 436 (Best 13%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Brayan Rocchio

500th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Brayan Rocchio has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.4% lower than Rocchio's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	19.0%	2.2%	5.8%	11.0%	6.5%	31.4%
Rocchio	-4.4	-2.0	-0.1	+0.8	-2.7	-2.4	+7.7
Nola	-4.0	-3.4	-0.8	-0.5	-2.1	-0.6	+0.5

Brayan Rocchio is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Rocchio has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Brayan Rocchio hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Brayan Rocchio hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Brayan Rocchio hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

13.0% of Brayan Rocchio's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.7% +6.3% 3%

Walk +2.1% -2.8% 39%

In Play +0.6% -3.5% 39%

On Base -1.3% -4.8% 31%

Hit -3.4% -2.0% 14%

Single -1.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.5%

40.1% of Brayan Rocchio's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +1.7% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.9% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.5% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.3% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -0.7%

12.0% of Brayan Rocchio's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.1% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.9% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.3% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% -0.7%

11.1% of Brayan Rocchio's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%