Matchup Machine

Heston Kjerstad

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Heston Kjerstad

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Alcantara
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Model Prediction

Heston Kjerstad has a 26.4% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 0.1% higher than Kjerstad's typical expectations, and 5.8% lower than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.4%19.2%2.2%3.6%13.4%7.2%34.1%
Kjerstad+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.7+0.6+0.8+2.3
Alcantara-5.8-2.7-0.2-1.2-1.3-3.1+7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Heston Kjerstad hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Kjerstad does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Heston Kjerstad hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

26.9% of Heston Kjerstad's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.5% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +7.5% +2.6% 6%         Walk -1.2% -0.7% 57%         In Play -6.3% -1.9% 39%         On Base -4.4% -4.1% 31%         Hit -3.2% -3.3% 14%         Single -1.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years