Matchup Machine

Davis Schneider

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matchup for Zach Eflin

65th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Davis Schneider

226th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Leans in favor of Eflin
2

Model Prediction

Davis Schneider has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 1.0% lower than Schneider's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%20.1%3.4%5.9%10.8%9.2%32.7%
Schneider-1.0+2.6+0.6+1.5+0.5-3.6-2.8
Eflin-1.8-4.4+0.3+0.1-4.8+2.5+11.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Davis Schneider is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Schneider has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Davis Schneider has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.1% of Davis Schneider's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.3% -0.2% 3%         Walk +2.1% -4.0% 44%         In Play -11.4% +4.1% 39%         On Base -7.7% -3.8% 31%         Hit -9.8% +0.2% 14%         Single -5.2% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -4.8% 0.0% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

Davis Schneider has 6 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual663012200.500
Expected From Contact →2.060.231.230.600.343
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-29Strikeout
2024-07-29Strikeout
2024-07-29Single43%57%
2024-05-18Single66%16%18%
2024-05-18Flyout1%98%
2024-05-18Double23%55%21%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.