Matchup Machine

Davis Schneider

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

113th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Davis Schneider

103rd out of 567 (Best 19%)

Moderate advantage for Schneider
3

Model Prediction

Davis Schneider has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 3.2% higher than Schneider's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.2%19.2%3.4%4.8%11.0%14.0%30.4%
Schneider+3.2+1.9+0.6+0.6+0.8+1.3-5.1
Fulmer-0.2-4.6+0.3-0.7-4.2+4.4+8.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Davis Schneider is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Schneider has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Davis Schneider has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Davis Schneider's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.7% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.7% -2.6% 3%         Walk +2.2% +2.5% 44%         In Play -11.9% +0.1% 39%         On Base -8.0% +3.9% 31%         Hit -10.2% +1.4% 14%         Single -5.4% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -4.9% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.1% +0.1%

History

Davis Schneider has 3 plate appearances against Carson Fulmer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.320.050.230.050.106
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-24Flyout3%96%
2024-08-24Lineout5%22%1%72%
2024-08-24Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.