Matchup Machine

Davis Schneider

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matchup for Caleb Thielbar

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Caleb Thielbar

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matchup for Davis Schneider

262nd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Thielbar
3

Model Prediction

Davis Schneider has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 1.4% higher than Schneider's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%15.7%3.5%3.8%8.4%15.7%39.0%
Schneider+1.4-1.5+0.7-0.5-1.8+3.0+3.5
Thielbar-0.5-6.1+0.2-1.3-5.0+5.6+11.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Davis Schneider is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Schneider has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Davis Schneider has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Davis Schneider's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.7% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +9.7% +5.2% 3%         Walk +2.2% +1.9% 44%         In Play -11.9% -7.1% 39%         On Base -8.0% -6.1% 31%         Hit -10.2% -8.0% 14%         Single -5.4% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -4.9% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +0.1% +0.2%

History

Davis Schneider has 1 plate appearance against Caleb Thielbar in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.510.090.250.170.510
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-11Sac Fly9%25%17%49%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.