Matchup Machine

Chas McCormick

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

258th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Chas McCormick

466th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Chas McCormick has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.3% lower than McCormick's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%21.6%2.3%5.8%13.5%5.8%35.4%
McCormick-2.3-0.4-0.3+0.7-0.7-1.9+8.7
Crochet0.0+0.7-0.1+0.8+0.1-0.7+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Chas McCormick is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. McCormick has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Chas McCormick has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Chas McCormick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.5% +9.4% 5%         Walk -0.7% -1.3% 40%         In Play -0.7% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit +0.8% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.1% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +0.1%

History

Chas McCormick has 4 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441010100.250
Expected From Contact →1.270.680.470.130.318
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-16Lineout3%4%93%
2024-06-19Flyout68%22%2%9%
2024-06-19Double22%7%71%
2024-06-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.