Matchup Machine

Chas McCormick

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matchup for Tanner Houck

73rd out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Chas McCormick

392nd out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Houck
4

Model Prediction

Chas McCormick has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.7% lower than McCormick's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%19.8%1.6%4.3%13.9%9.3%23.5%
McCormick-0.7-2.2-1.0-0.8-0.4+1.5-3.2
Houck-2.7-2.3-0.50.0-1.7-0.4+3.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Chas McCormick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. McCormick has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Chas McCormick has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Chas McCormick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.5% -1.6% 5%         Walk -0.7% +0.2% 40%         In Play -0.7% +1.4% 39%         On Base +0.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit +0.8% +0.3% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.6% -0.9%

History

Chas McCormick has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.480.000.010.470.160
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-22Groundout7%93%
2023-08-22Field Error
2022-08-01Groundout41%59%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.