Matchup Machine

Jake Meyers

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matchup for Bryce Miller

215th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Jake Meyers

410th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Miller
5

Model Prediction

Jake Meyers has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 0.8% lower than Meyers's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.9%21.5%1.8%4.9%14.9%7.4%29.8%
Meyers-0.8-0.3-0.2-0.5+0.4-0.5+5.1
Miller-0.3+1.1-0.5+0.5+1.1-1.40.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Meyers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Meyers has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jake Meyers has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Jake Meyers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.6% +0.2% 5%         Walk -1.3% -2.5% 39%         In Play +1.9% +2.3% 39%         On Base -4.7% -3.2% 31%         Hit -3.4% -0.7% 14%         Single -1.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.5%

History

Jake Meyers has 7 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual772002200.286
Expected From Contact →1.050.330.190.520.149
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-23Strikeout
2024-09-23Pop Out100%
2024-05-27Single11%89%
2024-05-27Strikeout
2024-05-27Single10%40%50%
2023-05-07Flyout13%6%81%
2023-05-07Flyout20%4%76%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.