Matchup Machine

Jake Meyers

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matchup for Matt Festa

125th out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Matt Festa

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matchup for Jake Meyers

307th out of 567 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Festa
2

Model Prediction

Jake Meyers has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 1.2% lower than Meyers's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Festa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%22.0%2.0%6.9%13.1%6.5%25.3%
Meyers-1.2+0.2+0.0+1.6-1.4-1.4+0.6
Festa-2.3-1.3-0.8+1.2-1.7-1.00.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Meyers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Meyers has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Jake Meyers has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
47%
   4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Jake Meyers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.6% +2.6% 5%         Walk -1.3% +3.5% 39%         In Play +1.9% -6.1% 39%         On Base -4.7% +0.8% 31%         Hit -3.4% -2.7% 14%         Single -1.6% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

Jake Meyers has 1 plate appearance against Matt Festa in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.650.000.160.490.653
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-30Single16%49%35%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.