Matchup Machine

Jake Meyers

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for Jake Meyers

424th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta
5

Model Prediction

Jake Meyers has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.4% lower than Meyers's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%17.3%2.0%4.6%10.7%11.1%27.8%
Meyers-1.4-4.50.0-0.8-3.8+3.2+3.1
Peralta-1.1-0.7-0.9+0.6-0.4-0.4+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Meyers is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Meyers has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Jake Meyers has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Jake Meyers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.6% +8.8% 5%         Walk -1.3% +1.0% 39%         In Play +1.9% -9.8% 39%         On Base -4.7% -6.8% 31%         Hit -3.4% -7.8% 14%         Single -1.6% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% -3.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.3%

History

Jake Meyers has 2 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100000.500
Expected From Contact →1.560.880.180.500.782
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-17Lineout7%50%43%
2024-05-17Home Run88%11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.