Matchup Machine

Jake Meyers

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

132nd out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for Jake Meyers

241st out of 567 (Best 43%)

Leans in favor of Cortes Jr.
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Model Prediction

Jake Meyers has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 0.8% higher than Meyers's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%21.9%2.3%5.6%14.0%8.6%24.7%
Meyers+0.8+0.1+0.3+0.3-0.5+0.7+0.0
Cortes Jr.-1.0+0.1-1.0+0.2+1.0-1.2+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Meyers is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Meyers has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Jake Meyers has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Jake Meyers's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.6% -0.1% 5%         Walk -1.3% -0.6% 39%         In Play +1.9% +0.6% 39%         On Base -4.7% -2.1% 31%         Hit -3.4% -1.6% 14%         Single -1.6% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +1.5%

History

Jake Meyers has 4 plate appearances against Nestor Cortes Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441100200.250
Expected From Contact →1.401.000.010.400.350
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-03-28Home Run100%
2024-03-28Strikeout
2022-06-26Strikeout
2022-06-26Forceout40%60%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.