Matchup Machine

Bligh Madris

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matchup for Michael Wacha

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Bligh Madris

323rd out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Strong advantage for Wacha
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Model Prediction

Bligh Madris has a 25.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 1.6% lower than Madris's typical expectations, and 6.1% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.0%18.3%2.3%4.1%11.9%6.8%24.1%
Madris-1.6-0.3+0.1-0.4+0.0-1.3-5.4
Wacha-6.1-4.9-0.5-1.0-3.4-1.3+2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Bligh Madris hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Madris has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Bligh Madris hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

19.4% of Bligh Madris's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +0.8% +0.4% 5%         Walk +1.1% -2.0% 52%         In Play -1.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base -3.3% -3.0% 31%         Hit -4.3% -1.0% 14%         Single -1.7% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.6% +0.1%

History

Bligh Madris has 3 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321001010.500
Expected From Contact →0.990.000.060.930.496
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-04Walk
2024-08-04Single6%93%1%
2024-08-04Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.