Matchup Machine

Bligh Madris

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Bligh Madris

114th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Moderate advantage for Mikolas
3

Model Prediction

Bligh Madris has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 1.4% higher than Madris's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%24.4%2.5%5.3%16.6%3.7%24.5%
Madris+1.4+5.8+0.3+0.8+4.7-4.4-5.0
Mikolas-4.1-3.7-0.8-1.3-1.7-0.4+4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Bligh Madris hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Madris doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Bligh Madris has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.4% of Bligh Madris's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +0.8% -3.3% 5%         Walk +1.1% -3.9% 52%         In Play -1.9% +7.2% 39%         On Base -3.3% -0.6% 31%         Hit -4.3% +3.3% 14%         Single -1.7% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% +1.8% 3%         Home Run -1.6% +0.0%

History

Bligh Madris has 3 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →0.910.220.450.240.305
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-28Strikeout
2023-06-28Groundout23%77%
2023-06-28Double22%45%32%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.