Matchup Machine

Jose Caballero

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matchup for Trevor Rogers

94th out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Trevor Rogers

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matchup for Jose Caballero

243rd out of 567 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Caballero
3

Model Prediction

Jose Caballero has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 1.2% higher than Caballero's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Rogers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%23.2%2.7%5.6%14.9%8.6%23.8%
Caballero+1.2+0.3-0.2+0.2+0.3+0.9-2.8
Rogers-2.2-1.00.0-0.1-0.9-1.2+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Caballero is worse vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Caballero has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Jose Caballero has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
48%
   Changeup (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Jose Caballero's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.1% -0.4% 5%         Walk -2.2% +0.3% 40%         In Play -1.9% +0.2% 39%         On Base -4.9% +0.7% 31%         Hit -2.7% +0.4% 14%         Single -1.2% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years