Matchup Machine

      Jose Caballero

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      matchup for P. Sandoval

      164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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      Patrick Sandoval

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      matchup for Jose Caballero

      342nd out of 564 (Worst 40%)

      Leans in favor of Sandoval
      1

      Model Prediction

      Jose Caballero has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 0.5% lower than Caballero's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Sandoval.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Jose Caballero is worse vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Caballero has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Jose Caballero hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
      27%
         4-Seam (L)
      26%
         Slider (L)
      25%
         Sinker (L)
      12%
         Curve (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      17.1% of Jose Caballero's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.1% +3.4% 5%         Walk -2.2% 0.0% 40%         In Play -1.9% -3.4% 39%         On Base -4.9% -0.2% 31%         Hit -2.7% -0.1% 14%         Single -1.2% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +0.8% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -1.4%

      History

      Jose Caballero has 6 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual662011300.333
      Expected From Contact →1.590.000.590.990.265
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-15Groundout4%12%84%
      2024-04-15Strikeout
      2024-04-09Double54%40%5%
      2024-04-09Single48%52%
      2023-09-12Strikeout
      2023-09-12Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.