Matchup Machine

Jose Caballero

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

131st out of 436 (Best 31%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Jose Caballero

261st out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Caballero
3

Model Prediction

Jose Caballero has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.4% higher than Caballero's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%21.8%2.8%5.0%13.9%10.2%24.7%
Caballero+1.4-1.10.0-0.4-0.7+2.5-2.0
Anderson-1.7-0.5-0.1-0.2-0.2-1.2+3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Caballero is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Caballero doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jose Caballero has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of Jose Caballero's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.1% -1.9% 5%         Walk -2.2% -1.0% 40%         In Play -1.9% +2.9% 39%         On Base -4.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.7% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.2% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.2%

History

Jose Caballero has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441001000.250
Expected From Contact →1.020.000.011.010.254
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-08Single90%10%
2024-04-08Pop Out100%
2023-08-05Groundout11%89%
2023-08-05Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.