Matchup Machine

Alec Burleson

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matchup for Tim Herrin

336th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Tim Herrin

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matchup for Alec Burleson

502nd out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Leans in favor of Burleson
1

Model Prediction

Alec Burleson has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 2.2% lower than Burleson's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Herrin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%22.5%1.9%4.5%16.1%8.4%17.6%
Burleson-2.2-3.5-0.3-1.8-1.4+1.2+2.8
Herrin+0.1+2.6-0.3+0.2+2.7-2.5-9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Alec Burleson is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Burleson doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. Alec Burleson has a B- grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
31%
   Curve (L)
26%
   Sinker (L)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

6.8% of Alec Burleson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -13.0% +1.8% 5%         Walk -1.0% +1.9% 34%         In Play +14.0% -3.7% 39%         On Base +2.2% -3.4% 31%         Hit +3.2% -5.3% 14%         Single +1.6% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% -2.1% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -1.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years