Matchup Machine

Alec Burleson

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matchup for Max Meyer

367th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Max Meyer

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matchup for Alec Burleson

170th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Extreme advantage for Burleson
9

Model Prediction

Alec Burleson has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Max Meyer, which is 0.5% higher than Burleson's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Meyer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%26.8%2.2%7.3%17.2%7.0%11.2%
Burleson+0.5+0.8+0.0+1.1-0.4-0.2-3.6
Meyer+0.8+3.8-1.0+2.1+2.7-3.0-8.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Alec Burleson is better vs right-handed pitching. Max Meyer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Burleson has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Max Meyer throws a Slider 39% of the time. Alec Burleson has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   4-Seam (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

6.8% of Alec Burleson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. Max Meyer strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -13.0% -3.9% 5%         Walk -1.0% -0.1% 34%         In Play +14.0% +4.0% 39%         On Base +2.2% -0.7% 31%         Hit +3.2% -0.6% 14%         Single +1.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +2.2%

History

Alec Burleson has 2 plate appearances against Max Meyer in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.000.050.025
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-07Groundout2%98%
2024-04-07Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.