matchup for Logan Webb
matchup for Alec Burleson
9
Alec Burleson has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 3.0% higher than Burleson's typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Webb.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.5% | 29.2% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 21.0% | 6.4% | 12.3% |
| Burleson | +3.0 | +3.7 | -0.2 | +0.4 | +3.5 | -0.7 | -2.5 |
| Webb | +3.3 | +4.4 | -0.4 | +1.0 | +3.9 | -1.0 | -9.7 |
Alec Burleson is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Burleson has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Alec Burleson has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
36%
Changeup (R)
34%
Slider (R)
25%
13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Alec Burleson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+5%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
3%
-4%
47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Alec Burleson has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Drop
47%
+34%
Offspeed (R)
34%
+23%
Extreme Break
24%
+9%
Medium Fast Velo
24%
+9%
6.8% of Alec Burleson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
19%
Strikeout
-13.0%
-0.8%
5%
Walk
-1.0%
-2.4%
34%
In Play
+14.0%
+3.2%
39%
On Base
+2.2%
+1.6%
31%
Hit
+3.2%
+4.0%
14%
Single
+1.6%
+2.5%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.8%
+2.8%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
-1.3%
34.2% of Alec Burleson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
+0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-0.3%
+9.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.4%
+1.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.6%
-3.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
+2.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
+0.2%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
-1.3%
1%
No Doubter
+0.1%
-0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.7%
-7.2%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
-1.4%
23.9% of Alec Burleson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.1%
+0.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.4%
-3.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.1%
-1.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+5.0%
+0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.4%
+3.6%
11.9% of Alec Burleson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.1%
+9.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.9%
+0.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.2%
+1.3%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.7%
+2.9%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.0%
-2.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.4%
-4.8%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.1%
-2.2%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-5.1%
Alec Burleson has 6 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 2.01 | 0.98 | 0.06 | 0.98 | 0.335 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-23 | Groundout | 8% | 92% | ||
| 2024-06-23 | Single | 27% | 72% | ||
| 2024-06-23 | Single | 28% | 71% | ||
| 2023-04-27 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2023-04-27 | GIDP | 3% | 32% | 65% | |
| 2023-04-27 | Home Run | 98% | 1% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
