Matchup Machine

Alec Burleson

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

387th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Alec Burleson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Burleson
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Model Prediction

Alec Burleson has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.0% lower than Burleson's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%24.5%2.7%5.6%16.1%7.7%14.4%
Burleson-1.0-1.5+0.6-0.7-1.4+0.5-0.4
Mahle+1.8+3.5-0.6+1.4+2.8-1.7-10.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Alec Burleson is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Burleson has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Alec Burleson has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

6.8% of Alec Burleson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -13.0% +10.2% 5%         Walk -1.0% -1.2% 34%         In Play +14.0% -9.0% 39%         On Base +2.2% -5.6% 31%         Hit +3.2% -4.3% 14%         Single +1.6% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years