Matchup Machine

Alec Burleson

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matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

320th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Nestor Cortes Jr.

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matchup for Alec Burleson

328th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Strong advantage for Burleson
6

Model Prediction

Alec Burleson has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 1.4% lower than Burleson's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Cortes Jr..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%24.3%2.9%5.9%15.5%7.4%15.3%
Burleson-1.4-1.7+0.8-0.4-2.0+0.2+0.5
Cortes Jr.+0.2+2.5-0.4+0.5+2.5-2.3-8.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Alec Burleson is worse vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Burleson has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Alec Burleson has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
45%
   Cutter (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
20%
   Changeup (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

6.8% of Alec Burleson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -13.0% -0.1% 5%         Walk -1.0% -0.6% 34%         In Play +14.0% +0.6% 39%         On Base +2.2% -2.1% 31%         Hit +3.2% -1.6% 14%         Single +1.6% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.8% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.2% +1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years