matchup for Thyago Vieira
matchup for Alec Burleson
3
Alec Burleson has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 1.1% lower than Burleson's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Vieira.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.5% | 22.5% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 15.2% |
| Burleson | -1.1 | -3.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -2.2 | +1.9 | +0.4 |
| Vieira | -2.2 | +2.4 | -0.5 | +0.8 | +2.1 | -4.6 | -9.3 |
Alec Burleson is better vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Burleson has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Alec Burleson has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
42%
Slider (R)
30%
Sinker (R)
25%
14% of Thyago Vieira's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Alec Burleson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
Chaser
4%
-2%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-3%
33% of Thyago Vieira's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Alec Burleson has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
33%
+25%
Large Break
36%
+15%
Medium Ride
29%
+15%
Fastball (R)
67%
+13%
6.8% of Alec Burleson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 13.0% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
19%
Strikeout
-13.0%
-2.2%
5%
Walk
-1.0%
+4.2%
34%
In Play
+14.0%
-2.0%
39%
On Base
+2.2%
+1.5%
31%
Hit
+3.2%
-2.7%
14%
Single
+1.6%
-2.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.8%
-1.6%
3%
Home Run
-0.2%
+0.9%
34.2% of Alec Burleson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.1%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-0.3%
-0.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.4%
-2.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.6%
+0.1%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
+0.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
+0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.4%
-0.4%
1%
No Doubter
+0.1%
-0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.7%
+3.7%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
+0.1%
23.9% of Alec Burleson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 24.1% of batted balls allowed by Thyago Vieira are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.1%
+1.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.4%
-4.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.1%
+0.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+5.0%
+2.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.4%
-0.2%
11.9% of Alec Burleson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Thyago Vieira are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.1%
+2.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.9%
-2.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.2%
-1.4%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.7%
-2.5%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.0%
+3.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.4%
-1.6%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.1%
+1.4%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
+1.1%
Alec Burleson has 1 plate appearance against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-09 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
