Matchup Machine

Ernie Clement

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Ernie Clement

261st out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Clement
4

Model Prediction

Ernie Clement has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.3% higher than Clement's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%25.1%2.7%5.3%17.1%4.4%12.1%
Clement+0.3+0.6+0.1+0.2+0.3-0.3-0.4
Weathers-0.4+3.6+0.7-0.3+3.2-4.0-12.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Ernie Clement is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Clement doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ernie Clement has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.4% -2.1% 7%         Walk -5.8% -0.6% 31%         In Play +20.1% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +5.8% +1.5% 14%         Single +2.8% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -0.5%

History

Ernie Clement has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →1.150.000.031.130.384
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-29Pop Out100%
2024-09-29Groundout67%32%
2024-09-29Pop Out2%45%53%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.