Matchup Machine

Ernie Clement

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matchup for JP Sears

145th out of 436 (Best 34%)

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JP Sears

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matchup for Ernie Clement

368th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Clement
2

Model Prediction

Ernie Clement has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 4.0% lower than Clement's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Sears.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.2%22.1%3.6%5.4%13.1%3.2%8.0%
Clement-4.0-2.4+0.9+0.2-3.6-1.5-4.5
Sears-4.5-0.50.0-0.6+0.1-4.0-10.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Ernie Clement is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Clement has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Ernie Clement has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
33%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.4% -2.6% 7%         Walk -5.8% -1.1% 31%         In Play +20.1% +3.7% 39%         On Base +0.1% -2.6% 31%         Hit +5.8% -1.5% 14%         Single +2.8% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +1.2%

History

Ernie Clement has 6 plate appearances against JP Sears in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662002000.333
Expected From Contact →1.770.000.251.520.295
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-11Pop Out100%
2024-08-11Groundout18%82%
2024-08-11Flyout99%
2023-09-06Flyout1%99%
2023-09-06Single23%67%11%
2022-07-03Single67%33%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.