Ernie Clement has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 4.0% lower than Clement's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Sears.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 25.2% | 22.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 8.0% |
Clement | -4.0 | -2.4 | +0.9 | +0.2 | -3.6 | -1.5 | -4.5 |
Sears | -4.5 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.6 | +0.1 | -4.0 | -10.4 |
Ernie Clement is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Clement has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Ernie Clement has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers
6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Ernie Clement has 6 plate appearances against JP Sears in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 1.52 | 0.295 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-11 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
2024-08-11 | Groundout | 18% | 82% | ||
2024-08-11 | Flyout | 99% | |||
2023-09-06 | Flyout | 1% | 99% | ||
2023-09-06 | Single | 23% | 67% | 11% | |
2022-07-03 | Single | 67% | 33% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.