Matchup Machine

Ernie Clement

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Ernie Clement

509th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Gilbert
3

Model Prediction

Ernie Clement has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 3.1% lower than Clement's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%23.2%2.3%5.3%15.6%2.9%18.2%
Clement-3.1-1.3-0.3+0.2-1.1-1.8+5.7
Gilbert+1.4+3.4-0.1+0.3+3.3-2.1-16.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Ernie Clement is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Clement has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ernie Clement has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.4% +4.3% 7%         Walk -5.8% -4.2% 31%         In Play +20.1% 0.0% 39%         On Base +0.1% -7.3% 31%         Hit +5.8% -3.1% 14%         Single +2.8% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.5%

History

Ernie Clement has 3 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.240.000.080.160.080
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-10Pop Out100%
2024-04-10Groundout8%7%86%
2024-04-10Groundout9%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.