Matchup Machine

Ernie Clement

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

163rd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Ernie Clement

221st out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Clement
5

Model Prediction

Ernie Clement has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 0.1% higher than Clement's typical expectations, and 4.9% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%24.7%3.4%5.2%16.1%4.6%12.9%
Clement+0.1+0.2+0.8+0.1-0.6-0.1+0.4
Flaherty-4.9+1.5-0.2+0.0+1.6-6.4-10.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Ernie Clement is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Clement has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ernie Clement has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.4% +5.8% 7%         Walk -5.8% -1.5% 31%         In Play +20.1% -4.3% 39%         On Base +0.1% -2.0% 31%         Hit +5.8% -0.5% 14%         Single +2.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -0.2%

History

Ernie Clement has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.200.000.000.200.100
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-19Groundout20%80%
2024-07-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.