Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ernie Clement

matchup for N. Cortes Jr.

104th out of 436 (Best 25%)

Nestor Cortes Jr.

matchup for Ernie Clement

467th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Leans in favor of Cortes Jr.

Ernie Clement has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Nestor Cortes Jr., which is 3.7% lower than Clement's typical expectations, and 6.0% lower than batters facing Cortes Jr..

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	21.8%	2.9%	4.8%	14.1%	3.7%	10.9%
Clement	-3.7	-2.7	+0.2	-0.3	-2.6	-1.0	-1.6
Cortes Jr.	-6.0	0.0	-0.5	-0.6	+1.1	-6.0	-13.0

Ernie Clement is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Nestor Cortes Jr. is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Clement has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Nestor Cortes Jr. throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Ernie Clement has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

45%

Cutter (L)

24%

Slider (L)

20%

Changeup (L)

19% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ernie Clement has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

72% of Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Ernie Clement has a C grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (L) 72%

+17%

High Ride 22%

+12%

Small Break 18%

+10%

6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -14.4% -0.1% 7%

Walk -5.8% -0.6% 31%

In Play +20.1% +0.6% 39%

On Base +0.1% -2.1% 31%

Hit +5.8% -1.6% 14%

Single +2.8% -1.7% 13%

2B / 3B +3.1% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -0.1% +1.5%

33.5% of Ernie Clement's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Nestor Cortes Jr. induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 7.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.9% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.9% -7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.9% -0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +4.8% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -2.4% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.1% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.9% +1.2% 3%

Pop up +2.5% +5.1%

9.9% of Ernie Clement's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.4% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +8.6% +2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.9% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.6% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -14.4% -0.3%

13.2% of Ernie Clement's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 13.2% of batted balls allowed by Nestor Cortes Jr. are hit at this angle, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.0% -5.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.9% -1.9% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -2.2% -4.2% 15%

19 to 28° -2.9% +1.7% 11%

29 to 38° +1.8% +1.8% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% +3.2% 8%

Above 50° +4.2% +4.7%

Ernie Clement has 6 plate appearances against Nestor Cortes Jr. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.41	0.08	0.29	0.04			0.069

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-29	Flyout				99%
2024-06-29	Double Play
2022-07-02	Lineout		19%	4%	78%
2022-07-02	Flyout				99%
2022-04-23	Flyout				99%
2022-04-23	Flyout	8%	9%		83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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