Matchup Machine

Ernie Clement

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

304th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Ernie Clement

63rd out of 567 (Best 12%)

Strong advantage for Clement
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Model Prediction

Ernie Clement has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 1.2% higher than Clement's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%28.1%3.8%5.7%18.6%2.3%10.0%
Clement+1.2+3.6+1.1+0.6+1.9-2.4-2.4
Mikolas-1.7+0.0+0.5-0.9+0.4-1.8-10.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Ernie Clement is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Clement doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Ernie Clement has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

6.1% of Ernie Clement's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.4% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.4% -3.3% 7%         Walk -5.8% -3.9% 31%         In Play +20.1% +7.2% 39%         On Base +0.1% -0.6% 31%         Hit +5.8% +3.3% 14%         Single +2.8% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +1.8% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.0%

History

Ernie Clement has 2 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.340.010.320.010.170
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-15Flyout32%1%66%
2024-09-15Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.