Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nelson Velazquez

matchup for Will Warren

133rd out of 436 (Best 31%)

Will Warren

matchup for N. Velazquez

283rd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Velazquez

Nelson Velazquez has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 1.0% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Warren.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	19.5%	3.7%	5.0%	10.9%	11.7%	31.9%
Velazquez	+1.0	-0.5	+0.1	+0.1	-0.7	+1.5	+2.3
Warren	-2.4	-2.4	+0.9	-0.4	-2.9	+0.1	+5.7

Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Velazquez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

28%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

10%

Cutter (R)

9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Drop 36%

+24%

Extreme Break 33%

+18%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% +3.0% 4%

Walk +0.6% +1.4% 41%

In Play -4.4% -4.3% 39%

On Base -4.4% -0.5% 31%

Hit -5.1% -1.8% 14%

Single -4.1% -1.9% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% -1.5% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +1.6%

31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -4.7% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner -3.9% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +3.6% +1.8% 1%

No Doubter +3.5% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.5% +7.7% 3%

Pop up -1.5% -2.8%

24.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 26.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.9% -9.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% -5.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% +6.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +7.8% +6.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% +2.1%

17.2% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%