Matchup Machine

Nelson Velazquez

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

261st out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for N. Velazquez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Velazquez
3

Model Prediction

Nelson Velazquez has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 2.0% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%19.3%3.9%4.8%10.6%13.0%29.5%
Velazquez+2.0-0.8+0.3-0.1-1.0+2.8-0.2
Wantz+0.4-1.0+0.6+0.4-2.0+1.5+4.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Velazquez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +7.5% 4%         Walk +0.6% +2.0% 41%         In Play -4.4% -9.5% 39%         On Base -4.4% -6.5% 31%         Hit -5.1% -8.5% 14%         Single -4.1% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.7% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +2.8% -0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years