Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nelson Velazquez

matchup for Ryan Weathers

104th out of 436 (Best 25%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for N. Velazquez

467th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers

Nelson Velazquez has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.7% lower than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.5%	17.7%	2.8%	4.5%	10.4%	9.8%	31.7%
Velazquez	-2.7	-2.4	-0.8	-0.3	-1.3	-0.4	+2.1
Weathers	-2.4	-3.9	+0.7	-1.0	-3.5	+1.4	+7.0

Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Velazquez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% -2.1% 4%

Walk +0.6% -0.6% 41%

In Play -4.4% +2.7% 39%

On Base -4.4% +0.9% 31%

Hit -5.1% +1.5% 14%

Single -4.1% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +2.8% -0.5%

31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.7% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -3.9% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +3.6% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +3.5% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.5% -5.5% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +1.2%

24.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +7.8% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% +1.1%

17.2% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%