Matchup Machine

      Nelson Velazquez

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      matchup for Logan Gillaspie

      124th out of 436 (Best 29%)

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      Logan Gillaspie

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      matchup for N. Velazquez

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Leans in favor of Velazquez
      1

      Model Prediction

      Nelson Velazquez has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.6% lower than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Gillaspie.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Velazquez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      46%
         Slider (R)
      24%
         Changeup (R)
      18%
         Curve (R)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 9.9% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% -9.3% 4%         Walk +0.6% -5.0% 41%         In Play -4.4% +14.3% 39%         On Base -4.5% +11.6% 31%         Hit -5.1% +16.7% 14%         Single -4.1% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B -3.7% +7.8% 3%         Home Run +2.8% +0.2%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years