Matchup Machine

Nelson Velazquez

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matchup for Sean Reynolds

187th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Sean Reynolds

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matchup for N. Velazquez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Reynolds
3

Model Prediction

Nelson Velazquez has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 0.3% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Reynolds.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%17.7%3.6%4.9%9.2%12.2%38.5%
Velazquez-0.3-2.3+0.0+0.1-2.4+2.0+8.9
Reynolds-1.4-1.7+0.9+0.1-2.8+0.3+6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Velazquez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
48%
   Slider (R)
46%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +20.7% 4%         Walk +0.6% +2.8% 41%         In Play -4.4% -23.5% 39%         On Base -4.4% -5.4% 31%         Hit -5.1% -8.2% 14%         Single -4.1% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.7% -2.5% 3%         Home Run +2.8% -2.8%

History

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