Matchup Machine

Nelson Velazquez

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matchup for G. Cleavinger

149th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Garrett Cleavinger

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matchup for N. Velazquez

334th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Leans in favor of Cleavinger
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Model Prediction

Nelson Velazquez has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 1.2% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Cleavinger.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%18.2%3.0%4.6%10.6%13.2%32.2%
Velazquez+1.2-1.8-0.5-0.3-1.0+3.0+2.5
Cleavinger-1.5-3.3+0.5+0.2-4.0+1.8+7.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Velazquez doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
41%
   4-Seam (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Sinker (L)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% +4.2% 4%         Walk +0.6% +3.9% 41%         In Play -4.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base -4.4% +3.2% 31%         Hit -5.1% -0.7% 14%         Single -4.1% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -3.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.8% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years