Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nelson Velazquez

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

111st out of 436 (Best 26%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for N. Velazquez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Velazquez

Nelson Velazquez has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 2.9% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	21.3%	3.7%	5.4%	12.2%	11.8%	28.5%
Velazquez	+2.9	+1.3	+0.2	+0.5	+0.6	+1.6	-1.2
Rodriguez	-2.1	-3.3	+0.7	-0.6	-3.5	+1.2	+6.8

Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% +6.5% 4%

Walk +0.6% +4.1% 41%

In Play -4.4% -10.5% 39%

On Base -4.4% +8.4% 31%

Hit -5.1% +4.3% 14%

Single -4.1% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.8% +3.7%

31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.7% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -3.9% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +3.6% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter +3.5% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.5% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +0.9%

24.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.9% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +7.8% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% +10.4%

17.2% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%