matchup for Clarke Schmidt
matchup for N. Velazquez
1
Nelson Velazquez has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.9% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Schmidt.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.1% | 17.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 28.6% |
| Velazquez | +0.9 | -3.0 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -1.7 | +3.9 | -1.1 |
| Schmidt | -0.9 | -2.5 | +0.6 | +0.0 | -3.2 | +1.7 | +3.6 |
Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Velazquez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a C grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
28%
Cutter (R)
24%
Sinker (R)
23%
Kn-Curve (R)
19%
11% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
11%
+3%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Mid Challenge
11%
+0%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
34% of Clarke Schmidt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Just Gravity
34%
+21%
Breaking (R)
47%
+16%
Slow Velo
29%
+14%
Large Break
18%
+13%
16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.8%
+0.3%
4%
Walk
+0.6%
+1.6%
41%
In Play
-4.4%
-1.9%
39%
On Base
-4.4%
-0.3%
31%
Hit
-5.1%
-2.0%
14%
Single
-4.1%
-1.1%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.7%
-0.8%
3%
Home Run
+2.8%
0.0%
31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.0%
+0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.6%
-0.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
-2.9%
+0.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-4.7%
+0.7%
9%
Rising Liner
-3.9%
-1.7%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.9%
-0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
+3.6%
+0.2%
1%
No Doubter
+3.5%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+8.5%
-1.4%
3%
Pop up
-1.5%
+3.3%
24.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Clarke Schmidt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-3.9%
-0.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.7%
+2.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
+1.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+7.8%
-1.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.2%
-1.6%
17.2% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Clarke Schmidt are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.9%
-0.3%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.1%
-1.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-4.9%
+1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.5%
-1.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.4%
-3.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+5.8%
+1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+3.6%
-0.9%
8%
Above 50°
+2.2%
+4.4%
Nelson Velazquez has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.49 | 0.264 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-09-30 | Single | 4% | 49% | 47% | |
| 2023-09-30 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
