Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nelson Velazquez

matchup for Jack Flaherty

323rd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for N. Velazquez

35th out of 564 (Best 7%)

Extreme advantage for Velazquez

Nelson Velazquez has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.8% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	22.4%	5.3%	5.8%	11.4%	11.6%	26.7%
Velazquez	+3.8	+2.4	+1.7	+0.9	-0.2	+1.4	-3.0
Flaherty	-0.2	-0.8	+1.7	+0.6	-3.1	+0.6	+3.9

Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Velazquez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a C- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% +5.8% 4%

Walk +0.6% -1.5% 41%

In Play -4.4% -4.3% 39%

On Base -4.4% -2.0% 31%

Hit -5.1% -0.5% 14%

Single -4.1% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +2.8% -0.2%

31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -4.7% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.9% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +3.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.5% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -1.5% -0.8%

24.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.9% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +7.8% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% -2.8%

17.2% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%