Matchup Machine

      Nelson Velazquez

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      matchup for Carson Fulmer

      230th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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      Carson Fulmer

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      matchup for N. Velazquez

      121st out of 564 (Best 22%)

      Strong advantage for Velazquez
      6

      Model Prediction

      Nelson Velazquez has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 3.3% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Velazquez has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      37%
         Changeup (R)
      20%
         Cutter (R)
      15%
         Sinker (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      9%
         Slider (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.8% -2.6% 4%         Walk +0.6% +2.5% 41%         In Play -4.4% +0.0% 39%         On Base -4.5% +4.0% 31%         Hit -5.1% +1.4% 14%         Single -4.1% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -3.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.8% +0.1%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years