Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nelson Velazquez

matchup for Aaron Nola

169th out of 436 (Best 40%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for N. Velazquez

417th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Nelson Velazquez has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.6% lower than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.6%	20.3%	4.0%	6.1%	10.3%	7.3%	38.4%
Velazquez	-2.6	+0.3	+0.4	+1.2	-1.4	-2.9	+8.8
Nola	-1.8	-2.0	+1.0	-0.2	-2.9	+0.2	+7.5

Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Velazquez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.8% +6.3% 4%

Walk +0.6% -2.8% 41%

In Play -4.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base -4.4% -4.8% 31%

Hit -5.1% -2.0% 14%

Single -4.1% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -3.7% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.8% -0.5%

31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.9% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -4.7% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -3.9% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +3.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +8.5% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.5% -0.7%

24.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -3.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.7% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +7.8% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% -0.7%

17.2% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%