matchup for Caleb Thielbar
matchup for N. Velazquez
1
Nelson Velazquez has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.2% higher than Velazquez's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Thielbar.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.4% | 19.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 34.6% |
| Velazquez | +0.2 | -0.9 | +0.8 | +0.3 | -1.9 | +1.1 | +5.0 |
| Thielbar | -1.5 | -2.6 | +1.1 | +0.1 | -3.7 | +1.1 | +6.7 |
Nelson Velazquez is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Velazquez has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nelson Velazquez has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
49%
Slider (L)
29%
Curve (L)
22%
16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
16%
+5%
Strong Challenge
9%
+4%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Meatball
3%
-2%
Weak Challenge
6%
-3%
Non-Competitive
8%
-4%
50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Nelson Velazquez has a B grade against this type of pitch from left handers.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Breaking (L)
50%
+21%
Small Break
29%
+21%
Slow Lob
22%
+18%
Extreme Drop
22%
+17%
16.8% of Nelson Velazquez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.8%
+5.2%
4%
Walk
+0.6%
+1.9%
41%
In Play
-4.4%
-7.1%
39%
On Base
-4.5%
-6.1%
31%
Hit
-5.1%
-8.0%
14%
Single
-4.1%
-4.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.7%
-3.9%
3%
Home Run
+2.8%
+0.3%
31.8% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.0%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.6%
-2.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
-3.1%
-3.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-4.9%
-0.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-3.9%
-1.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.9%
-0.7%
3%
Likely Homer
+3.7%
+0.9%
1%
No Doubter
+3.5%
+0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+8.7%
+2.4%
3%
Pop up
-1.5%
+4.9%
24.0% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 23.1% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-4.1%
+2.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.5%
+1.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.9%
+2.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+7.8%
-4.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.3%
-1.2%
17.1% of Nelson Velazquez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. 10.6% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.7%
-1.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.2%
-4.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-4.9%
-1.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.4%
+2.3%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.3%
-2.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+5.6%
-0.8%
7%
39 to 50°
+3.6%
+1.4%
8%
Above 50°
+2.3%
+7.0%
No History in the last 3 years
