Matchup Machine

Jonny DeLuca

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

223rd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Jonny DeLuca

519th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Jonny DeLuca has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.7% lower than DeLuca's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.1%22.3%1.9%4.9%15.5%4.7%33.1%
DeLuca-2.7-0.9-0.4-0.3-0.3-1.9+11.3
Crochet-0.4+1.4-0.6-0.1+2.1-1.8-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonny DeLuca is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. DeLuca doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Jonny DeLuca hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Jonny DeLuca's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -4.0% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.2% -1.3% 41%         In Play +5.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base -1.6% -3.9% 31%         Hit -0.4% -2.5% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +0.1%

History

Jonny DeLuca has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.950.000.010.950.953
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-06-13Single95%5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.