Matchup Machine

Jonny DeLuca

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matchup for Alex Speas

140th out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Jonny DeLuca

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of DeLuca
1

Model Prediction

Jonny DeLuca has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 1.3% higher than DeLuca's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%21.5%1.9%5.6%14.0%9.6%21.2%
DeLuca+1.3-1.7-0.3+0.4-1.7+3.0-0.6
Speas-2.9+0.4-0.6+0.4+0.6-3.3-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonny DeLuca is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. DeLuca has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Jonny DeLuca hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Jonny DeLuca's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -4.0% +19.9% 5%         Walk -1.2% -0.6% 41%         In Play +5.3% -19.3% 39%         On Base -1.6% -8.2% 31%         Hit -0.4% -7.6% 14%         Single +0.2% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -5.2% 3%         Home Run -1.3% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years